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Reti Bayesiane: da modelli di conoscenza a strumenti inferenziali e decisionali
Reti Bayesiane: da modelli di conoscenza a strumenti inferenziali e decisionali
This article is published on the Telecom Italia technical bulletin of 2010. It contains a clear and short introduction to the Bayesian approach and Bayesian networks, with a focus on business and industrial applications.

Approccio bayesiano nelle contrattazioni di roaming wholesale internazionale
Approccio bayesiano nelle contrattazioni di roaming wholesale internazionale
This article is published on the Telecom Italia technical bulletin of 2012. It deals with the bayesian prevision model of call traffic developped by Pangea Formazione and used in the negotiation activity of Telecom Italia.

La Rivoluzione di Bayes.<br />L'altro approccio alla statistica.
La Rivoluzione di Bayes.
L'altro approccio alla statistica.
Published in 2011 by "Il Saggiatore", this ebook is a complete introduction to the probabilistic approach and the Bayesian theory. It contains simple examples and explains the utilisation of the Bayesian networks.
Probabilità e scelte razionali, una introduzione alla scienza delle decisioni
Probabilità e scelte razionali, una introduzione alla scienza delle decisioni
Published in 2008, this book explains the fundamentals of the decision theory under uncertainty. It contains case-studies specific to the business activity.
Una traduzione italiana di Specimen Theoriae Novae de Mensura Sortis.
Una traduzione italiana di Specimen Theoriae Novae de Mensura Sortis.
This work is the first italian traslation of a historical essay fundamental to the decision theory "Specimen Theoriae Novae de Mensura Sortis" by Daniel Bernoulli (1738).

A defense of Columbo (and of the use of Bayesian inference in forensics): A multilevel introduction to probabilistic reasoning.
A defense of Columbo (and of the use of Bayesian inference in forensics): A multilevel introduction to probabilistic reasoning.
This paper introduces the basic concepts of the probabilistic inference applied to forensic, showing the considerable justice miscarriages resulting from an incorrect probabilistic reasoning. Moreover the concept of "judgement leaning" is introduced as well as the Bayesian networks as a support to the probabilistic reasoning.

Hiroshima e il nostro senso morale. Analisi di una decisione drammatica
Hiroshima e il nostro senso morale. Analisi di una decisione drammatica
by Paolo Agnoli, with a preface by Giulio Sapelli. Edizioni Guerini e Associati, Milano, 2012
The bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki is a very controvertial event of the 20th century hystory and nowadays it is still not easy to analyze the decisions that made it happen in a rational way, without the interference of ideology and emotionality. The aim of this work is to examine in depth the context and the background in which those decisions developped. The author shows how the nuclear arms race started before the Manhattan Project and reveals episodes of the second world war unknown to the most and only recently discovered.
Così è... probabilmente.<br />Il saggio, l'ingenuo e la signorina Bayes.
Così è... probabilmente.
Il saggio, l'ingenuo e la signorina Bayes.
by Giulio D'Agostini and Dino Esposito
An original presentation to the probabilistic aspects of Decision Making. The cases debated among the three managers of the dialogues introduce quite informally the use of Bayes theorem in inferential processes, ranging from biometric autentication to clinical trials, passing though election polls. Some philosophical aspects of probability theory are highlighted, and ethical and theory-game related issues of decision making are also touched.

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Henri Poincare

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